Suppose I asked you: “What is the best start you can expect in a Texas hold’em game?” In all likelihood, you quickly replied, “It’s nothing to think about. It’s pocket Aces! ”
Of course, and I think everyone agrees. But, did you know pocket Aces (AA) can easily become big underdogs – even before the flop is placed on the board? It’s a fact. And, we all know that underdogs are more likely to lose than to win that pot. And it will cost you money! It can and does happen. Yes, your pretty AA can cost you a lot, except…
If you don’t know it, the number of opponents who stand to see the flop makes all the difference – even more so on a complete table of nine or ten players. I’ve written and lectured on this many times: Your AA is the favorite of about 80 percent of each of your opponents at PisauQQ. (Notice I underlined the word, “each” for added emphasis.)
The law of probability teaches us, as the number of opponents who stand to see the flop increases, your AA loses a lot of value. The obvious response is to reduce the number of opponents on hand. But if you force everyone else to get their hands dirty, you won’t win much, if any, money. After all, isn’t it your goal to win as many chips as possible – not just to win?
Most often, your AA won’t improve. The odds are around 8 to 1 against dropping a set. All things considered, it would be wise to dilute the pitch to two or three opponents. Then you are still the favorite to win, but there will be some money (Chips) in the pot worth fighting over. Four or more opponents spell danger; You become the underdog. The underdog is sure to lose more times than to win.
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